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Author Topic: NFL (2022 Season)  (Read 200942 times)

thspfc

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3150 on: October 01, 2022, 10:35:16 PM »

I've given up on predictions for this year after having only five correct predictions for week 3.
Also 5 here. Week 3 was especially weird, even as far as September goes.
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Whether a team makes the playoffs isn't comparable to whether they are above .500. Part of making the playoffs is getting the wins when you need them to get in, which Brady/Belichick always found a way to do. That's skill. Being above .500 or below .500 is just however things shake out. That's luck.

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3151 on: October 02, 2022, 01:34:48 PM »

Washington at Dallas looks more like Pittsburgh at Dallas.
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thspfc

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3152 on: October 02, 2022, 04:40:30 PM »

Cowboys are 3-1. Giants are also 3-1 but a very unimpressive 3-1. Bears are awful.

That’s it from me until my predictions get better  :-D
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Whether a team makes the playoffs isn't comparable to whether they are above .500. Part of making the playoffs is getting the wins when you need them to get in, which Brady/Belichick always found a way to do. That's skill. Being above .500 or below .500 is just however things shake out. That's luck.

Ted$8roadFan

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3153 on: October 02, 2022, 05:31:53 PM »

Career Patriots backup QB Brian Hoyer leaves with a head injury…and the ball goes to rookie Bailey Zappe.
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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3154 on: October 02, 2022, 07:22:20 PM »

Most of my Baltimore and DC brethren want to fire our head coaches. Amazing time.
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thspfc

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3155 on: October 02, 2022, 08:41:25 PM »

Sadly we won't get to fantasize about somebody going 0-17 this year. The only team without a W is Houston who has a tie. And they've been competitive in all their games so I don't foresee them being winless for much longer.

Raiders looked good today so I'm going to hold off on forking them this round. My 15 point forks are:

- Patriots
- Jets
- Steelers
- Panthers
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Whether a team makes the playoffs isn't comparable to whether they are above .500. Part of making the playoffs is getting the wins when you need them to get in, which Brady/Belichick always found a way to do. That's skill. Being above .500 or below .500 is just however things shake out. That's luck.

webny99

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3156 on: October 02, 2022, 11:15:56 PM »

...
Steelers
Browns
Jets
Patriots
Texans
Titans

Falcons
Giants
Commanders
Seahawks
Lions
Bears

I'm reasonably satisfied with my preseason forks so far, especially in the AFC. NFC is a bit more meh, but it feels like almost everyone has a chance there, so who knows. And I'm definitely glad I forked the Steelers early (and the Pats, although they almost beat the Packers with Bailey Zappe which would have been incredible). I'll wait till the Thurs deadline to decide if I'm going to add any more.
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JayhawkCO

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3157 on: October 03, 2022, 12:28:40 PM »

Add the Patriots to my fork list.

webny99

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3158 on: October 04, 2022, 07:23:46 PM »

Add this to the list of reasons why I don't like ties: if not for the Colts-Texans tie, we would have...

(1) 4-0 team (Eagles)
(7) 3-1 teams
(16) 2-2 teams (incl. Colts)
(7) 1-3 teams
(1) 0-4 team (Texans)

The tie ruins the perfect symmetry, but still pretty impressive how many 2-2 teams there are.
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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3159 on: October 04, 2022, 07:26:37 PM »

Those numbers are supposed to be 2, 8, 12, 8, and 2, according to the bell curve. If teams were required to play teams with the same record, this would be guaranteed.
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jgb191

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3160 on: October 05, 2022, 12:26:13 AM »

Add this to the list of reasons why I don't like ties: if not for the Colts-Texans tie, we would have...

(1) 4-0 team (Eagles)
(7) 3-1 teams
(16) 2-2 teams (incl. Colts)
(7) 1-3 teams
(1) 0-4 team (Texans)

The tie ruins the perfect symmetry, but still pretty impressive how many 2-2 teams there are.


If it wasn't a tie the Texans would have been one of those 1-3 teams.
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JayhawkCO

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3161 on: October 05, 2022, 10:11:45 AM »

I went 9-7 last week. Pretty pathetic.

Broncos over Colts
Vikings over Bears
Jaguars over Texans
Packers over Giants
Bills over Steelers
Chargers over Browns
Lions over Patriots
Saints over Seahawks
Dolphins over Jets
Bucs over Falcons
Titans over Commanders
49ers over Panthers
Rams over Cowboys
Eagles over Cardinals
Bengals over Ravens
Chiefs over Raiders

ilpt4u

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3162 on: October 05, 2022, 11:52:35 AM »

Add this to the list of reasons why I don't like ties: if not for the Colts-Texans tie, we would have...

(1) 4-0 team (Eagles)
(7) 3-1 teams
(16) 2-2 teams (incl. Colts)
(7) 1-3 teams
(1) 0-4 team (Texans)

The tie ruins the perfect symmetry, but still pretty impressive how many 2-2 teams there are.


If it wasn't a tie the Texans would have been one of those 1-3 teams.
Lovie could have gone for the W in OT; he coached it to be content with the sister-kisser
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NWI_Irish96

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3163 on: October 05, 2022, 11:53:33 AM »

I wasn't much better, 10-6

Broncos
Packers
Bills
Chargers
Jaguars
Vikings
Patriots
Saints
Jets
Bucs
Titans
49ers
Eagles
Cowboys
Bengals
Chiefs
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jlam

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3164 on: October 05, 2022, 12:49:33 PM »

I did pretty well last week. 11-5 but I almost got Baltimore as well.

Colts 20, Broncos 23
Giants 17, Packers 27
Steelers 16, Bills 30
Chargers 31, Browns 20
Bears 13, Vikings 27
Lions 38, Patriots 26
Saints 24, Seahawks 33
Dolphins 26, Jets 23
Falcons 17, Buccaneers 29
Titans 20, Commanders 16
Texans 13, Jaguars 28
49ers 27, Panthers 10
Cowboys 26, Rams 20
Eagles 28, Cardinals 16
Bengals 21, Ravens 24
Raiders 28, Chiefs 30
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webny99

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3165 on: October 05, 2022, 02:49:03 PM »

Add this to the list of reasons why I don't like ties: if not for the Colts-Texans tie, we would have...
...
The tie ruins the perfect symmetry, but still pretty impressive how many 2-2 teams there are.

If it wasn't a tie the Texans would have been one of those 1-3 teams.
Lovie could have gone for the W in OT; he coached it to be content with the sister-kisser

Yes, it could have gone either way. I assigned the W to the Colts and the L to the Texans to make things symmetrical, but it could have been the reverse, which would have put both teams at 1-3.
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thspfc

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3166 on: October 06, 2022, 08:48:46 AM »

Broncos 20, Colts 17
Packers 31, Giants 13
Lions 27, Patriots 16
Chargers 29, Browns 14
Jaguars 38, Texans 21
Buccaneers 26, Falcons 24
Bills 38, Steelers 14
Dolphins 23, Jets 16
Vikings 28, Bears 13
Commanders 25, Titans 20
Saints 23, Seahawks 20
49ers 31, Panthers 10
Eagles 42, Cardinals 20
Rams 20, Cowboys 17
Ravens 27, Bengals 24
Chiefs 35, Raiders 21
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Whether a team makes the playoffs isn't comparable to whether they are above .500. Part of making the playoffs is getting the wins when you need them to get in, which Brady/Belichick always found a way to do. That's skill. Being above .500 or below .500 is just however things shake out. That's luck.

webny99

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3167 on: October 06, 2022, 10:32:54 AM »

...
Steelers
Browns
Jets
Patriots
Texans
Titans

Falcons
Giants
Commanders
Seahawks
Lions
Bears

I'm going to cut my losses and fork the Panthers.

That's it for now - there's a few other teams on my radar, but none that aren't worth giving up the two points for a few more weeks' worth of data points.
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NWI_Irish96

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3168 on: October 06, 2022, 11:47:57 AM »

I'm not going to be quite as aggressive, I'll fork these teams:

Jets
Browns
Texans
Lions
Falcons
Seahawks

Adding:

Patriots
Steelers
Raiders
Commanders
Panthers
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Ted$8roadFan

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3169 on: October 06, 2022, 07:22:36 PM »

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JayhawkCO

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3170 on: October 06, 2022, 10:01:01 PM »

Russ looking great with the Broncos...

Mmmhmmmmmmmm.......

Mmmmmmhhhhmmmmmmmmmmmm...

Alps

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3171 on: October 06, 2022, 11:44:54 PM »

Russ looking great with the Broncos...

Mmmhmmmmmmmm.......

Mmmmmmhhhhmmmmmmmmmmmm...
3rd & 4 at IND 13
(2:13 - 4th) (Shotgun) R.Wilson pass deep middle intended for T.Cleveland INTERCEPTED by S.Gilmore at IND -5. Touchback


4th & 1 at IND 5
(2:38 - OT) (Shotgun) R.Wilson pass incomplete short middle to C.Sutton


mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

JayhawkCO

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3172 on: October 06, 2022, 11:47:38 PM »

Fork the Broncos. Should have had my conviction to do so in the preseason. Russ is cooked just like I said. Add in a terrible coach and this is what you get.

cl94

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3173 on: October 06, 2022, 11:48:44 PM »

Breaking my forum sabbatical to note that tonight may have been the worst NFL game I have ever seen.
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webny99

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Re: NFL (2022 Season)
« Reply #3174 on: October 07, 2022, 12:05:15 AM »

I'm not sure it tops the 6-6 tie between the Cardinals and Seahawks (ironically also involving Russell Wilson), but it was close. Definitely in "so bad it's good" territory. I can't believe that final 4th down play.

Not only have the Broncos been playing extremely ugly games and very lucky to have 2 wins, they've been in prime time three times already, with another one coming up next Monday against the Chargers.
« Last Edit: October 07, 2022, 12:13:48 AM by webny99 »
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