If the Jets were in the NFC, they'd be a near-lock to make the playoffs. They beat the Packers, who nearly made the playoffs last year, by 17 points with Zach Wilson, and the NFC QB rankings and teams in general have largely gotten even more suspect since then.
I don't remember at what point last offseason we started "forking" teams, but there's exactly 1 of 32 teams that I would feel comfortable forking right now, and that's the Arizona Cardinals. Other than the Cardinals there's not a single team that I would say has zero chance to win their division, much less make the playoffs as a wild card. Definitely not touching either East or North division, but there are a few new teams that I would at least put in the conversation: Titans, Colts (depending on what they do at QB), Bucs, and Rams. No idea how I got to 12 teams last year, even post-draft.