What's your weather currently?

[Roadgeekteen]

80s and sunny

[Roadgeekteen]

Clouds and rain today, 80s.

[tolbs17]

90, mostly sunny

[hotdogPi]

While I was working at Stop & Shop, register 1 (which is self scan) automatically rebooted with an error message due to lightning.

[Mark68]

80ish and cloudy with strong storms on their way.

[Roadgeekteen]

will get into the 90s with clouds

[US 89]

Here in Atlanta, the forecast for the past 5 days has been "chance of thunderstorms, some potentially strong or severe". However, this has not delivered and it's just hot and muggy, with highs in the low 90s and dewpoints around 70.

[Mark68]

The strong storms we were expecting did come and became severe with some flash flooding...at least over central Denver and Aurora. Down south, in Parker, we got some rain and lots of thunder and lightning, but that was about it.


Took the train home from work, and got hailed on downtown, then by the time I got to my truck, it was dry with a dry commute until right after I got home.

[ipeters61]

Here in Atlanta, the forecast for the past 5 days has been "chance of thunderstorms, some potentially strong or severe". However, this has not delivered and it's just hot and muggy, with highs in the low 90s and dewpoints around 70.

Similar here in Dover, but last night we did see some storms (with flashes of lightning lighting up my whole apartment for an hour or two late at night).  Looks like we have some dark clouds rolling in now, with temperatures dropping into the high 70s!

[jeffandnicole]

Here in Atlanta, the forecast for the past 5 days has been "chance of thunderstorms, some potentially strong or severe". However, this has not delivered and it's just hot and muggy, with highs in the low 90s and dewpoints around 70.

Yay...the forecasters got it right!  (because they only said 'a chance of'...so no matter what happened, they were correct!)

Gotta love a job where they can f it up every day and still have everyone follow their every word.

[Roadgeekteen]

70s with sun and clouds.

[ET21]

You could not ask for a more spectacular day. Mid 70s for highs under unlimited sunshine

[MNHighwayMan]

Here in Atlanta, the forecast for the past 5 days has been "chance of thunderstorms, some potentially strong or severe". However, this has not delivered and it's just hot and muggy, with highs in the low 90s and dewpoints around 70.

Yay...the forecasters got it right!  (because they only said 'a chance of'...so no matter what happened, they were correct!)

Gotta love a job where they can f it up every day and still have everyone follow their every word.

Weather prediction is largely an educated estimation of probabilities. I'm glad you understand that.

[Rothman]

Here in Atlanta, the forecast for the past 5 days has been "chance of thunderstorms, some potentially strong or severe". However, this has not delivered and it's just hot and muggy, with highs in the low 90s and dewpoints around 70.

Yay...the forecasters got it right!  (because they only said 'a chance of'...so no matter what happened, they were correct!)

Gotta love a job where they can f it up every day and still have everyone follow their every word.

Weather prediction is largely an educated estimation of probabilities. I'm glad you understand that.

I've always found this defense of meteorologists to be pretty weak.  The fact of the matter is that they forecast the weather and rest upon their best guess given their modeling.  That goes for any science that rests upon multivariate regression analysis, actually.  Doesn't change the fact that meteorologists' best guesses are still wrong an unacceptable amount of the time; in other sciences, we'd blame incomplete variables or bad data.

And. as I just found out in Newfoundland this past week, they didn't get it right once even within half a day up there, if not within an hour .  Also found it interesting that the weather radar from the Weather Channel was actually incorrect in real time up there, too (e.g., showing it wasn't raining where I was when it definitely was and would be continuing to do so for a while -- forecasts were for no precip, I assume based partially on what the radar showed).

[hotdogPi]

80% chances happen 80% of the time. You should expect them to be wrong some of the time. If "80%" is only 60% in reality (over a long period of time), they're definitely doing something wrong, but I don't think this is happening.

[MNHighwayMan]

Doesn't change the fact that meteorologists' best guesses are still wrong an unacceptable amount of the time

The thing is, I don't believe this is true. I have yet to see evidence in support of this idea.

Edit: And I'm not going to. What counts as "unacceptably" wrong is going to be up to the individual. And as I've seen in this sub-forum, what counts as unacceptably wrong for some people is an unrealistically high bar for accuracy.

[tolbs17]

70 degrees and cloudy. going to rain late on

[Roadgeekteen]

70s and sunny

[1995hoo]

Glorious morning. After temperatures in the 90s all week, it was 63° when I got up this morning and it's still only 75° at 11:13. I set the AC to a higher temperature so it won't run and opened up some windows to get some fresh air circulating, although I hear several neighbors have their AC running and it's noisy enough that I'll have to close the window to make a phone call at 11:30.

[ozarkman417]

It's a rainy morning but as a result the temperature is a pleasant 67 degrees. Southern MO just had a heatwave and my school district told my Cross Country team it was unsafe to practice in the afternoons, so we moved our practices to the morning temporarily.  I'm generally not a morning person, but the cooler weather was worth it.   

[jakeroot]

Glorious morning. After temperatures in the 90s all week, it was 63° when I got up this morning and it's still only 75° at 11:13. I set the AC to a higher temperature so it won't run and opened up some windows to get some fresh air circulating, although I hear several neighbors have their AC running and it's noisy enough that I'll have to close the window to make a phone call at 11:30.

My mother (up in Arlington) is particularly happy about this. Her AC up and quit last week, and she's been in misery since. Finally today, it's back down to a reasonable temperature. Good thing too, since I'll be back in DC this Monday, and I don't want to be sleeping in a sweatbox (and the new AC doesn't arrive until Wednesday, so the choice wouldn't be mine).

[ET21]

Doesn't change the fact that meteorologists' best guesses are still wrong an unacceptable amount of the time

The thing is, I don't believe this is true. I have yet to see evidence in support of this idea.

^this, please show data

[ozarkman417]

Mostly sunny, 80 degrees. Its cooler outside than it is inside because the AC is constantly disabled or broken down in my school.

SM-G965U

[Rothman]

Doesn't change the fact that meteorologists' best guesses are still wrong an unacceptable amount of the time

The thing is, I don't believe this is true. I have yet to see evidence in support of this idea.

^this, please show data

They couldn't get it right for 13 days while I was on vacation, like I said.

Predictions of snowfall in my area are also pretty lousy.

[webny99]

Doesn't change the fact that meteorologists' best guesses are still wrong an unacceptable amount of the time

The thing is, I don't believe this is true. I have yet to see evidence in support of this idea.

^this, please show data

They couldn't get it right for 13 days while I was on vacation, like I said.
Predictions of snowfall in my area are also pretty lousy.

FWIW. (Warning: contains some relevant content, but also some political discussion).
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/