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Tropical cyclone tracking thread

Started by CNGL-Leudimin, May 07, 2015, 11:08:01 AM

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CNGL-Leudimin

#300
May 27, 2018, 06:29:30 AM  
As I've said many times earlier, I won't recognize subtropical systems, and as such I won't recognize Alberto unless it becomes fully tropical, thus creating a situation like I have in 2007 where I start from Barry (leaving Andrea unused until 2013).
Supporter of the construction of several running gags, including I-366 with a speed limit of 85 mph (137 km/h) and the Hypotenuse.

Please note that I may mention "invalid" FM channels, i.e. ending in an even number or down to 87.5. These are valid in Europe.

empirestate

#301
May 27, 2018, 05:40:58 PM  
Quote from: CNGL-Leudimin on May 27, 2018, 06:29:30 AM
As I've said many times earlier, I won't recognize subtropical systems, and as such I won't recognize Alberto unless it becomes fully tropical, thus creating a situation like I have in 2007 where I start from Barry (leaving Andrea unused until 2013).

What does "recognizing" it entail?

Hurricane Rex

#302
May 30, 2018, 02:26:17 PM  
Quote from: CNGL-Leudimin on May 27, 2018, 06:29:30 AM
As I've said many times earlier, I won't recognize subtropical systems, and as such I won't recognize Alberto unless it becomes fully tropical, thus creating a situation like I have in 2007 where I start from Barry (leaving Andrea unused until 2013).
Alberto is now a TD.

LG-TP260

ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.

CNGL-Leudimin

#303
May 30, 2018, 03:27:40 PM  
Yup, but anyway it should have remained unnamed, as it was not tropical while a storm and not a storm while tropical. Thus I'll be marking Alberto as unused this year, much like Nicole 2004 (and thus jumping from Matthew to Otto in the end) and Andrea 2007 (thus starting with Barry).
Supporter of the construction of several running gags, including I-366 with a speed limit of 85 mph (137 km/h) and the Hypotenuse.

Please note that I may mention "invalid" FM channels, i.e. ending in an even number or down to 87.5. These are valid in Europe.

jeffandnicole

#304
May 30, 2018, 03:33:18 PM  
Quote from: CNGL-Leudimin on May 30, 2018, 03:27:40 PM
Yup, but anyway it should have remained unnamed, as it was not tropical while a storm and not a storm while tropical. Thus I'll be marking Alberto as unused this year, much like Nicole 2004 (and thus jumping from Matthew to Otto in the end) and Andrea 2007 (thus starting with Barry).

OK, what's that supposed to mean?  It's been a named storm.  Nothing you say or do will change that.  And because it wasn't a major issue, the name will return in 7 years.

ET21

#305
May 30, 2018, 03:59:41 PM  
First tropical system to affect Chicagoland since 2012 when we had Isaac and the wind field of Sandy
The local weatherman, trust me I can be 99.9% right!
"Show where you're going, without forgetting where you're from"

Clinched:
IL: I-88, I-180, I-190, I-290, I-294, I-355, IL-390
IN: I-80, I-94
SD: I-190
WI: I-90, I-94
MI: I-94, I-196
MN: I-90

CNGL-Leudimin

#306
July 02, 2018, 08:13:29 AM  
More "unrecognitions" from me. This time I don't recognize what the JTWC called "tropical storm" 07W back in mid June, simply because it was an extratropical low embedded within a stationary front (as analyzed by Japan).
Supporter of the construction of several running gags, including I-366 with a speed limit of 85 mph (137 km/h) and the Hypotenuse.

Please note that I may mention "invalid" FM channels, i.e. ending in an even number or down to 87.5. These are valid in Europe.

hotdogPi

#307
July 02, 2018, 08:39:45 AM  
Quote from: CNGL-Leudimin on July 02, 2018, 08:13:29 AM
More "unrecognitions" from me. This time I don't recognize what the JTWC called "tropical storm" 07W back in mid June, simply because it was an extratropical low embedded within a stationary front (as analyzed by Japan).

Does Japan name their storms? I would say that after giving a potential storm a number, deciding not to name it is already a way of "unrecognizing" it.
Clinched

Traveled, plus 13, 44, and 50, and several state routes

New:
I-189 clinched
US 7, VT 2A, 11, 15,  17, 73, 103, 116, 125, NH 123 traveled

CNGL-Leudimin

#308
August 07, 2018, 07:36:05 AM   Last Edit: August 07, 2018, 07:38:53 AM by CNGL-Leudimin
This is a Pacific hurricane, not an Atlantic one. Anyway we don't need a separate thread for Atlantic.
Quote from: Interstate 69 Fan on August 06, 2018, 04:39:51 PM
So when Did Hector decide to become a step away from Cat 5?

When Hurricane Hunters investigated it. It may have been category 5 briefly. What is even better, some models take Hector all the way to Japan! But that is still far out (GFS has already given out on that possibility, but the Euro, considered more reliable, still carries that). Anyway, it's rare to see a typhoon with an Eastern Pacific (out to -140°) name, but it has happened a handful times (last time in 2014 with typhoon Genevieve).
Supporter of the construction of several running gags, including I-366 with a speed limit of 85 mph (137 km/h) and the Hypotenuse.

Please note that I may mention "invalid" FM channels, i.e. ending in an even number or down to 87.5. These are valid in Europe.

Interstate 69 Fan

#309
August 17, 2018, 08:40:03 AM  
2018 WPAC typhoon season could be one of the most active on record. Soulik, and soon to be Cimaron (which should've been retired in 2006) will be the earliest 18th and 19th storms in the basin in recorded history.
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Interstate 69 Fan

#310
August 21, 2018, 09:33:08 AM   Last Edit: August 22, 2018, 08:45:42 AM by Interstate 69 Fan
Lane a major threat to Hawaii. Winds are presently 150 mph. 2 of the models on tropical tidbits calls for more strengthening to 160 mph+.

Interests in HI need to continue, or to start, watching Lane VERY closely. This may be the most significant storm since Iniki.

EDIT: Just shy of Category 5 now. Winds of 155 mph!

EDIT: CAT 5
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

paulthemapguy

#311
August 21, 2018, 04:29:55 PM  
So far it looks like Lane is going to hit Oahu sometime on late Thursday or Friday.
Avatar is the last interesting highway I clinched.
My website! http://www.paulacrossamerica.com Now featuring all of Ohio!
My USA Shield Gallery https://flic.kr/s/aHsmHwJRZk
TM Clinches https://bit.ly/2UwRs4O

National collection status: 361/425. Only 64 route markers remain

CNGL-Leudimin

#312
August 22, 2018, 07:12:51 AM  
Lane now category 5!!! Now that's crazy (but not unseen, the longest-lasting tropical cyclone ever, hurricane/typhoon John of 1994, was also a cat. 5 South of Hawaii).
Supporter of the construction of several running gags, including I-366 with a speed limit of 85 mph (137 km/h) and the Hypotenuse.

Please note that I may mention "invalid" FM channels, i.e. ending in an even number or down to 87.5. These are valid in Europe.

Interstate 69 Fan

#313
August 22, 2018, 10:49:47 AM  
Quote from: CNGL-Leudimin on August 22, 2018, 07:12:51 AM
Lane now category 5!!! Now that's crazy (but not unseen, the longest-lasting tropical cyclone ever, hurricane/typhoon John of 1994, was also a cat. 5 South of Hawaii).
Amazing.
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Hurricane Rex

#314
August 22, 2018, 01:47:48 PM  
Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if Lane stays CAT 3 as its turning around Oahu.

LG-TP260

ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.

Hurricane Rex

#316
August 24, 2018, 10:20:02 PM  
Lane now down to a cat 1

LG-TP260

ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.

Interstate 69 Fan

#317
August 28, 2018, 02:00:32 PM  
Lane is now only a minimal tropical depression, and will likely be declared post-tropical in 2 hours. If not 2, then 8.

Newly formed Tropical Storm Jebi in the West Pacific could become the next (fifth) Category 5 of 2018.

Jelawat was, IMO, a Category 5. I rarely see a 150 mph Cat 4 with a pressure of 915 mb.
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

#318
August 28, 2018, 03:08:00 PM  
I was waiting for Lane to dissipate, given it was already a depression two days ago.

I should note that average pressure on Western Pacific is lower than on the Atlantic. So, it is perfectly possible to get a 130 mph (10 minute) cat 4 with a pressure of 915 mbar, in fact any category 5 super typhoon is almost guaranteed to have a minimum pressure under 900 mbar (That is, according to the Dvorak technique, Japan almost always underestimates intensity of typhoons). Anyway, I think Hector was a cat 5 for a while.
Supporter of the construction of several running gags, including I-366 with a speed limit of 85 mph (137 km/h) and the Hypotenuse.

Please note that I may mention "invalid" FM channels, i.e. ending in an even number or down to 87.5. These are valid in Europe.

Interstate 69 Fan

#319
August 29, 2018, 08:34:30 AM  
Hector totally was a Cat 5 IMO, in between recon missions. I think Hector's peak was approx. 158 mph
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Interstate 69 Fan

#320
August 30, 2018, 12:24:24 PM   Last Edit: August 30, 2018, 12:27:21 PM by Interstate 69 Fan
Well then. Not one but TWO cat 5's maybe with us soon.
Norman has winds of 150 mph presently. The NHC do forecast it to reach Category 5 by 8 PM tonight.
Jebi on the other hand IMO is already there. Only 140 mph officially, but they updated the latest on it after their advisory, so the track from the JTWC is when the storm had 125 mph winds, which calls for a 150 mph peak, which I think is VERY underestimated. Jebi is showing unprecedented rapid deepening, might reach 175-180 mph.
I mean, just look at that eye! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#25W Pinhole! I don't know how they got 125 mph from that originally. Looks deserving of 160 IMO.
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

#321
August 30, 2018, 04:27:51 PM  
Jebi already a Cat 5. As always the Japanese Meteorological Agency is underestimating its power, saying it has 10 minute sustained winds of only 115 mph as opposed to 140 mph obtained by extrapolation from the 1 minute figure of 160 mph (the conversion factor being about 1.14, but this is approximate and doesn't always occur).
Supporter of the construction of several running gags, including I-366 with a speed limit of 85 mph (137 km/h) and the Hypotenuse.

Please note that I may mention "invalid" FM channels, i.e. ending in an even number or down to 87.5. These are valid in Europe.

Interstate 69 Fan

#322
August 31, 2018, 09:07:20 AM  
175 mph. Holy moly. Plus Norman is weakening now.
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Interstate 69 Fan

#323
September 02, 2018, 01:34:17 PM  
Invest 99L targets the Gulf Coast... poised to become Gordon. 80% chance to form in 5 days.
Apparently I’m a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Hurricane Rex

#324
September 03, 2018, 04:22:51 PM  
TS Gordon is a thing now, forcast to become a near-hurricane to a cat 1 by Landfall in Mississippi or Alabama in 36 hrs or less.

Florence is staying in open waters and probably won't reach hurricane strength.

Another tropical wave has a 50/50 shot of developing into a storm, would be Helene.

After that, beware the I.

LG-TP260

ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.
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