Topic: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season (Read 5571 times)

Interstate 69 Fan · « **on:** January 16, 2018, 12:08:10 PM »

Any predictions for the upcoming season?

Hurricane Rex · « **Reply #1 on:** January 16, 2018, 09:19:16 PM »

Less active than last year. I don't make predictions till May.

ET21 · « **Reply #2 on:** January 18, 2018, 02:40:04 PM »

Once we see how the upcoming La Nina setup affects the weather for the rest of Winter and Spring, we'll have a better idea of the tropics

Hurricane Rex · « **Reply #3 on:** April 17, 2018, 03:05:49 PM »

CSU and Accuweater predict slightly above to highly above average season this year.

LG-TP260

Interstate 69 Fan · « **Reply #4 on:** April 18, 2018, 02:19:23 PM »

Quote from: Hurricane Rex on April 17, 2018, 03:05:49 PM

CSU and Accuweater predict slightly above to highly above average season this year.

LG-TP260

I’m thinking something like 2017’s activity will occur this year.

Besides, 27 Days until the https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Pacific_hurricane_season begins. I have no clue what the predictions are for that season.

Something also to note, Infamous John is on this year’s list, which happens to be my middle name!

CNGL-Leudimin · « **Reply #5 on:** April 18, 2018, 03:10:05 PM »

Quote from: Interstate 69 Fan on April 18, 2018, 02:19:23 PM

I’m thinking something like 2017’s activity will occur this year.

Besides, 27 Days until the 2018 Pacific hurricane season begins. I have no clue what the predictions are for that season.

Something also to note, Infamous John is on this year’s list, which happens to be my middle name!

FTFY. Don't link to mobile Wikipedia.

Please use the thread I created a few years ago.

US71 · « **Reply #6 on:** May 23, 2018, 08:32:59 AM »

We may be getting our first Tropical Storm (Alberto) around Memorial Day

abefroman329 · « **Reply #7 on:** May 23, 2018, 09:44:50 AM »

The other day, I was thinking of how we learned about confidence intervals as part of a finance course in my MBA program. So I predict that this year's hurricane season will include between 0 and 10,000 hurricanes.

Beltway · « **Reply #8 on:** May 23, 2018, 11:48:46 AM »

Quote from: Hurricane Rex on April 17, 2018, 03:05:49 PM

CSU and Accuweater predict slightly above to highly above average season this year.

They always do. Usually are wrong. Want to create hype.

Interstate 69 Fan · « **Reply #9 on:** May 23, 2018, 12:35:32 PM »

Quote from: US71 on May 23, 2018, 08:32:59 AM

We may be getting our first Tropical Storm (Alberto) around Memorial Day

You know that if the CMC model predicts a storm, your getting a storm. I have never seen a CMC model that predicts a storm, and the storm doesnt actually end up forming. Albeit, the CMC intensity on the model is a bit low (It was only saying that Irma last year would only be a minimal TS),.

Conditions ahead of the newly-tagged Invest 90L are pretty favorable, and will remain so. I’d give it a 70% chance right now.

Interstate 69 Fan · « **Reply #10 on:** May 24, 2018, 08:40:06 AM »

80% officially in 5 days, and the NHC is calling a storm of at least tropical depression strength likely to form.

US71 · « **Reply #11 on:** May 24, 2018, 08:47:52 AM »

Quote from: Interstate 69 Fan on May 24, 2018, 08:40:06 AM

80% officially in 5 days, and the NHC is calling a storm of at least tropical depression strength likely to form.

Most likely Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida will see most of it.

Hurricane Rex · « **Reply #12 on:** May 25, 2018, 11:05:48 AM »

Subtropical storm Alberto has formed.

LG-TP260

ET21 · « **Reply #13 on:** May 25, 2018, 11:49:40 AM »

It has begun lol

Interstate 69 Fan · « **Reply #14 on:** August 02, 2018, 02:04:06 PM »

Get this African Dust out of here.

jeffandnicole · « **Reply #15 on:** August 02, 2018, 02:14:19 PM »

Weather people are fun. These two stories were written in the past 24 hours:

July active month for Atlantic basin, with formation of two hurricanes (The paper claims 2 is active because normally a hurricane occurs once every two years. It then goes on to say "August is one of the most active months in the hurricane season.."
https://www.tcpalm.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2018/08/01/july-active-month-atlantic-basin-formation-two-hurricanes/878219002/

Another newspaper: "Experts at Colorado State University predict storm activity for the remainder of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season will be 'below average.'" Yet, they show an alarming image of 2 hurricanes...from last year.
https://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2018/08/hurricane_2018_forecast_update.html

Yay for a job where you can be wrong and exaggerate and still have people hang onto every word.

ET21 · « **Reply #16 on:** August 03, 2018, 08:23:12 AM »

Quote from: jeffandnicole on August 02, 2018, 02:14:19 PM

Weather people are fun. These two stories were written in the past 24 hours:

July active month for Atlantic basin, with formation of two hurricanes (The paper claims 2 is active because normally a hurricane occurs once every two years. It then goes on to say "August is one of the most active months in the hurricane season.."
https://www.tcpalm.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2018/08/01/july-active-month-atlantic-basin-formation-two-hurricanes/878219002/

Another newspaper: "Experts at Colorado State University predict storm activity for the remainder of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season will be 'below average.'" Yet, they show an alarming image of 2 hurricanes...from last year.
https://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2018/08/hurricane_2018_forecast_update.html

Yay for a job where you can be wrong and exaggerate and still have people hang onto every word.

Both links are your usual click-bait articles for newspapers

Interstate 69 Fan · « **Reply #17 on:** August 06, 2018, 04:39:51 PM »

So when Did Hector decide to become a step away from Cat 5?

Interstate 69 Fan · « **Reply #18 on:** August 07, 2018, 02:18:30 PM »

Oh hi Debby.

ET21 · « **Reply #19 on:** September 14, 2018, 09:20:58 AM »

Helene and possibly Joyce could make for some rough weather for Ireland and the UK early next week

Hurricane Rex · « **Reply #20 on:** September 15, 2018, 07:14:09 PM »

So much for 60% chance for this season being below average, and we still have 47% if the season left. ACE has reached 80 (66-110 is near average)

LG-TP260

Hurricane Rex · « **Reply #21 on:** November 12, 2018, 08:47:55 PM »

Its fair to say 2018 hurricane seasons are over for the big ones, yes I know about the 60% chance area if interest but I just want to put this out there.

Chance of retirement IMO:
Atlantic:
Alberto: <1%
Beryl: <1%
Chris: 0%
Debby: 0%
Ernesto: 0%
Florence: 99%
Gordon: 2%
Helene: 1%
Isaac: 0%
Joyce: 0%
Kirk: 0%
Leslie: 20%
Michael: 99%
Nadine: 0%
Oscar: 0%

EPac (unless otherwise stated, chance is 0%):
Bud: <1%
Caroletta: <1%
Hector: 3%
Lane: 55% (damages not as severe as predicted)
Olivia: 3%
Nineteen: wait....
Rosa: 5%
Sergio: 8%
Walaka: 1%
Vicentee: 50% (16 deaths)
Willia: 40%

LG-TP260

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Author Topic: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season (Read 5571 times)