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Author Topic: Tropical cyclone tracking thread  (Read 78134 times)

formulanone

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #750 on: November 11, 2020, 02:22:21 PM »

Θ (uppercase since I start a sentence) is now fully tropical, and thus 2020 is now per my reckoning (a bit later than NHC's since as you know I don't recognize subtropical storms) the year in which more tropical storms have formed in the Atlantic. It is almost a hurricane as well, and is heading towards... me!

At what angle is theta approaching?

[ Hypotenuse has joined the chat ]
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1995hoo

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #751 on: November 16, 2020, 09:58:37 AM »

Iota is now a Category 5. Looks like its track is slightly further south than where Eta hit Nicaragua, but it's still going to be a huge mess affecting substantially the same area.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #752 on: November 16, 2020, 01:19:15 PM »

Iota is now a Category 5. Looks like its track is slightly further south than where Eta hit Nicaragua, but it's still going to be a huge mess affecting substantially the same area.

First Cat 5 of the season, apparently.
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cl94

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #753 on: November 16, 2020, 04:08:07 PM »

Iota is now a Category 5. Looks like its track is slightly further south than where Eta hit Nicaragua, but it's still going to be a huge mess affecting substantially the same area.

First Cat 5 of the season, apparently.

First Cat 5 that was designated as such when the storm was ongoing. I fully expect Laura and Eta to be revised to 5s in the post-season analysis.
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US 89

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #754 on: November 16, 2020, 10:25:41 PM »

Iota is now a Category 5. Looks like its track is slightly further south than where Eta hit Nicaragua, but it's still going to be a huge mess affecting substantially the same area.

First Cat 5 of the season, apparently.

First Cat 5 that was designated as such when the storm was ongoing. I fully expect Laura and Eta to be revised to 5s in the post-season analysis.

Ehhh I don't think Laura will be revised quite to category 5. Operationally it was assessed at 150 mph, and I do expect to see an increase to 155...but I think 160 is just a bit too far given the data that was collected by the Hurricane Hunter planes that night.

Eta on the other hand has a stronger case for a cat 5 post-season upgrade.

kenarmy

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #755 on: February 14, 2021, 12:26:19 AM »

When are they going to finish? I think Gamma was briefly a hurricane and Zeta was a cat 3.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #756 on: February 16, 2021, 01:16:03 PM »

When are they going to finish? I think Gamma was briefly a hurricane and Zeta was a cat 3.

Considering the high number of high-impact tropical cyclones in 2020, it will probably be a while.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #757 on: February 16, 2021, 01:38:08 PM »

A few days ago cyclone Faraji in the South-West Indian dissipated. It briefly became the first Category 5-equivalent cyclone in 2021. At least it stayed away from land. To date no Very Intense Tropical Cyclone (the highest category in the scale used by Météo-France in Reunion) has made landfall at that intensity.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #758 on: February 16, 2021, 02:43:38 PM »

When are they going to finish? I think Gamma was briefly a hurricane and Zeta was a cat 3.

Considering the high number of high-impact tropical cyclones in 2020, it will probably be a while.

Of the 31 Atlantic tropical cyclones in 2020, they've only completed the post-season reports for 13 of them as of this writing - and those were all short or low-impact systems. It's going to be a loooong time.

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #759 on: February 16, 2021, 04:08:53 PM »

When are they going to finish? I think Gamma was briefly a hurricane and Zeta was a cat 3.

Considering the high number of high-impact tropical cyclones in 2020, it will probably be a while.

Of the 31 Atlantic tropical cyclones in 2020, they've only completed the post-season reports for 13 of them as of this writing - and those were all short or low-impact systems. It's going to be a loooong time.

Indeed. Of the 13 they've done, Hanna had the most impact, while Alpha had the most changes.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #760 on: February 26, 2021, 12:03:56 PM »

NOAA is apparently considering moving the start date of the Atlantic hurricane season from June 1 back to May 15:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/02/26/hurricane-season-lengthening-start-date/

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #761 on: February 26, 2021, 01:27:00 PM »

NOAA is apparently considering moving the start date of the Atlantic hurricane season from June 1 back to May 15:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/02/26/hurricane-season-lengthening-start-date/
I think that's a great idea considering all the storms recently before the month of June.
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