2010 U.S. Census thread

[golden eagle]

Thanks for the links, Stephane. That Google link reported growth rates in Texas and in the town of Fate in Rockwall County, it grew by 1,100 percent! I'm interested in seeing growth rates for other communities in Texas and other areas when full numbers come out.

[3467]

Top 5 counties are half the Texas population I think it is 60 in Illinois. ALL Illinois growth was hispanic in 101 of the 102 counties
There is some speculation that many northern African Americans went south .
Politically Illinois was described as the big redistricting prize by the Wash Post I agree. I think with the population shifts here the Dems could pick up 7 seats. I had heard Texas would offer 3 of 4 seats to Dems to shore up GOP incumbents and avoid Voting Rights Act Issues

[golden eagle]

Top 5 counties are half the Texas population

Not quite. Just a shade 11 million live in the top five counties out of 25 million-plus in the state. Close but somewhere closer to 40% though.

[golden eagle]

There is some speculation that many northern African Americans went south.

Stephane's Google link at the bottom of page 4 sheds some light on this. In fact, Illinois had its first-ever decrease in the black population.

[Brandon]

Chicago and downstate plunged the subrubs and exurbs boomed Kendall doubled. Its a county of 114,000 with only some recently 4 laned sections of US 34
If Kendalls growth was not slowed by the hosuing crisis I wonder how much bigger it would have been by 2010.
It alos shows sprawl can occur before the highways

However, US-34 is only one high-growth corridor in Kendall County.  The other is Caton Farm Road, which was recently four-laned east to Essington Road.

[golden eagle]

Kendall is the fastest-growing of any county with 10K or more.

[Hot Rod Hootenanny]

There is some speculation that many northern African Americans went south.

Stephane's Google link at the bottom of page 4 sheds some light on this. In fact, Illinois had its first-ever decrease in the black population.

That's just confirmation to what folks were telling me in Louisiana (even after Katrina/Rita) and Mississippi when I was attending LSU.

[Hot Rod Hootenanny]

Texas data released

Five largest cities:

Houston, 2,099,451 (7.5%)
San Antonio, 1,327,407 (16%)
Dallas, 1,197,816 (.8%)
Austin, 790,390 (20.4%)
Fort Worth, 741,206 (38.6%)

Five largest counties:

Harris, 4,092,459 (20.3%)
Dallas, 2,368,139 (6.7%)
Tarrant, 1,809,034 (25.1%)
Bexar, 1,714,773 (23.1%)
Travis, 1,024,266 (26.1%)

I thought Dallas had a larger population than that. Maybe I'm thinking of the metro population for Dallas-Ft. Worth instead.

[huskeroadgeek]

Top 5 counties are half the Texas population I think it is 60 in Illinois. ALL Illinois growth was hispanic in 101 of the 102 counties
There is some speculation that many northern African Americans went south .
Politically Illinois was described as the big redistricting prize by the Wash Post I agree. I think with the population shifts here the Dems could pick up 7 seats. I had heard Texas would offer 3 of 4 seats to Dems to shore up GOP incumbents and avoid Voting Rights Act Issues

As a political junkie who follows this stuff pretty closely, and has read a couple of analyses of the redistricting scenarios in Illinois, I would say that Democrats picking up 7 seats in Illinois alone would be virtually impossible. Republicans currently have a 11-8 majority in the congressional delegation-if the Democrats picked up 7 seats, that would leave Republicans with only 3 since Illinois loses 1 seat. Illinois is a Democrat-dominated state overall, but even the most partisan gerrymander would have a tough time producing a situation where Republicans could only win 3 seats in the state. There are just too many Republicans downstate and in the exurban areas around Chicago to be able to lump those voters into only 3 districts. Even the most partisan gerrymanders don't always end up working anyway-the 17th District(one of the most bizarrely drawn districts in the country) was clearly drawn to elect a Democrat, and it elected a Republican in November.

The analyses I have seen suggest that Democrats could pick up 3 or 4 seats in Illinois by throwing two of the downstate Republicans into the same district(probably Aaron Schock and Bobby Schilling) and then making that district more favorable to the Democrats and then adding Democrat precincts into a couple of the other metro-Chicago based districts now held by Republicans(probably the 8th and the 10th).

As for Texas-giving 3 districts to the Democrats is probably accurate since much of the growth in Texas has been from Hispanics and some of those new districts are going to have to be drawn to favor Hispanics(and thus Democrats, although the Hispanic-majority 23rd and 27th Districts both elected Republicans in November). Republicans are pretty much maxed out in Texas as it is, so they will likely use this opportunity to shore up the gains they have made already and the 4th new district they add will likely be a Republican-friendly district in the DFW area, probably in the fast-growing northern suburbs.

[3467]

There was a 4 seat swing and Kirks Dist. which is really close stayed Republican At a minimum the dems take those 5 seats back.
Chicago has 7 packed CDs that could be spread to the suburbs
17 wasnt just for Hare,it was to give LaHood a safe district. This time all bets are off. You could have a downstate dem CD with Peoria and the QC as well as the small Dems cities of Galesburg,Kewanee and Monmouth. You could dump the GOP and very empty rural areas in another CD. Downstate without Rockford,Metro East and QC/Peoria is well, Iowa, maybe just 3 CD that you could pack in some exurban republicans in. So I really think it could be done . Will it? I will go with minimum 5 seat pick up and 7 with the right
map. Florida is a 50-50 state and was even last year but is 20-5 GOP. In 2012 with Obama at the top of the Ticket Illinois wont be 50-50
I must admit I thought I was nuts when I first came up with the figure but I posted it on an Illinois politics site and no said a thing.
Overall I am with you . The GOP maxed out not just in Texas but FL OH PA and WI . With California and Florida having independant commmisions and the really profound rural declines and Hispanic population growth it is going to be a wild remap year

[golden eagle]

Texas data released

Five largest cities:

Houston, 2,099,451 (7.5%)
San Antonio, 1,327,407 (16%)
Dallas, 1,197,816 (.8%)
Austin, 790,390 (20.4%)
Fort Worth, 741,206 (38.6%)

Five largest counties:

Harris, 4,092,459 (20.3%)
Dallas, 2,368,139 (6.7%)
Tarrant, 1,809,034 (25.1%)
Bexar, 1,714,773 (23.1%)
Travis, 1,024,266 (26.1%)

I thought Dallas had a larger population than that. Maybe I'm thinking of the metro population for Dallas-Ft. Worth instead.

The metro is over six million strong now. At one time, Dallas was one of the fastest-growing major city in the country, but now it's growth has slowed to a trickle. I even wonder if this is leading to a population decrease.

[Stephane Dumas]

The Chicago Tribune posted more graphics about the population change http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-met-0220-census-follow-gfx.eps-20110218,0,5740685.graphic

[SP Cook]

Next out: Alabama, Missouri, Colorado, Utah, Nevada, Oregon, Washington, and Hawaii.  Of the set Missouri is losing a seat, while Utah, Nevada, and Washington are gaining. 

In base terms, very roughly, Utah and Nevada present unique districting, because both have the vast majority of their population in one place (Las Vegas and Salt Lake City metros) with huge unpopulated desert areas.    Washington is the classic pattern on the west coast of a liberals on the coast and conservatives inland.  It will be interesting. 

[Stephane Dumas]

The Chicago Tribune show by using the Google maps layout, the population change in Chicagoland except the parts located in Wisconsin and Indiana. http://media.apps.chicagotribune.com/census-2010/population-change/index.html#41.76193891415895,-88.40730590820313,13

Edit: the USA Today posted an interactive map of the current states who devoiled their census
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/default.htm

[golden eagle]

Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon & Washington to be released tomorrow at 3pm EST

[Stephane Dumas]

A bit off-topic but I spotted these articles http://www.businessinsider.com/15-suburbs-that-are-turning-into-slums-2010-7#
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/2011-02-16-1Acensuskids16_ST_N.htm?loc=interstitialskip

[golden eagle]

Now released:

Colorado


Oregon

Washington

In Colorado, Denver is the largest city at just a shade over 600K, while Colorado Springs is not too terribly far behind at over 416K. However, El Paso County (C-Springs) has surpassed Denver County (the same as the city of Denver) as the state's most populous county at 622,263 to Denver's 600,158.

In Oregon, Portland is still, by far, the largest city there, followed by Euege, Salem, Gresham and Hillsobor. Multnomah County is still the largest.

In Washington, Seattle surpassed the 600K mark and Spokane broke over 200K. King County (Seattle) by far is the largest with over 1.9M, followed by Pierce and Snohomish counties.

[Landshark]

Washington:

Western Washington - 5,229,486
Eastern Washington - 1,495,044

Some metro populations:

Seattle/Tacoma  - 4,082,411
-- Olympia - 252,264
Spokane  - 471,221
Vancouver - 425,363
Tri-Cities - 253,340
Yakima - 243,231
Bellingham - 201,140
Mt. Vernon-Anacortes - 116,901
Wenatchee - 110,884
Longview  - 102,410


Oregon:

Portland* - 2,214,943
Salem - 390,738
Eugene - 351,715
Medford-Ashland - 203,206
Corvallis-Albany - 202,151
Bend - 178,711
Roseburg - 107,667


* - including WA portions of metro area

[oscar]

Hawaii's numbers just came out.  http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/2010_census/cb11-cn41.html

Kalawao County, Hawaii (2010 population 90), still has more people than Loving County, Texas (2010 population 82).  However, Kalawao County's population is shrinking rapidly while Loving County's isn't, so Kalawao County should soon overtake Loving County for lowest county population in the U.S., unless when all the Census data are out some other county surprises us with an even lower 2010 population.

Honolulu County has over 70% of the state's population, more than twice that of all the "neighbor island" counties combined.

[golden eagle]

Since Oscar covered Hawaii, I'll post info for Alabama,
Missouri and Nevada.

In Alabama, Montgomery is now within a stone's throw of taking over the top spot as the state's largest city with a population 205,764. Birmingham, at 212,237, is still the largest city but lost almost 13% of its 2000 population. Mobile had a small decrease, down to over 195K. Huntsville (the city I think will eventually be Alabama's largest) grew by almost 14% to 180K.

In Missouri, Kansas City widened its lead over St. Louis, thanks to a 4% increase and St. Louis' 8.3% decrease in population. I was surprised by St. Louis' drop (or at least how hard they dropped) because recent estimates seemed to indicate a reversal in the decline. Of course, estimates are just what they are--estimates.

[Revive 755]

Other Missouri highlights (or somewhat major towns on the highways):

* Branson:  10,520 (73.9%)
* Cape Girardeau:  37,941 (7.3%)
* Columbia:  108,500 (28.4%)
* Hannibal:  17,916 (0.9%)
* Jefferson City:  43,079 (8.7%)
* Joplin:  50,150 (10.2%)
* Lebanon:  14,474 (19.1%)
* Poplar Bluff:  17,023 (2.2%)
* St. Joesph:  76,780 (3.8%)
* Sedalia:  21,387 (5.2%)
* Sikeston:  16,318 (-4.0%)
* Springfield:  159,428 (5.2%)
* Warrensburg:  18,838 (15.3%)

(Edited to fix poor typing)

[golden eagle]

Where did you find the full Missouri numbers? I can't find them on the Census Bureau's site.

[golden eagle]

Somehow, we missed Utah. Interesting stat about Utah: not a single county lost population!

[Revive 755]

Where did you find the full Missouri numbers? I can't find them on the Census Bureau's site.

I've been going through the USA Today site via http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/profile/[add state initials here]

[golden eagle]

Where did you find the full Missouri numbers? I can't find them on the Census Bureau's site.

I've been going through the USA Today site via http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/census/profile/[add state initials here]

Thanks!