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Winter and/or calendars and/or kphoger's and/or Rothman's daddies

Started by kphoger, October 29, 2025, 01:59:41 PM

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Roadgeekteen

I think dst discussion should be allowed here change my mind
My username has been outdated since August 2023 but I'm too lazy to change it


kphoger

Quote from: Roadgeekteen on October 30, 2025, 10:46:09 AMI think dst discussion should be allowed here change my mind

I kind of think you're more likely to change someone's mind about religion or politics than about DST.

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

JayhawkCO

Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 10:25:23 AMThis is something I've been thinking about lately.

For some reason, people seem to expect the weather to be warmer in March than it was in February, and then we're all surprised—every single time—when it snows in March.  There's just something about the calendar page flipping over, and then we just forget what we learned the previous year.  Every year.

March is our snowiest month. April gets just about as much snow as December or January.


kphoger

Quote from: JayhawkCO on October 30, 2025, 11:18:18 AMApril gets just about as much snow as December or January.

Yep.  I think it was on April 24 that my wife and I flew out on our honeymoon.  We had a transfer at DIA, and it was sleeting badly enough that they had to de-ice the wings before take-off.

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

JayhawkCO

Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 11:32:13 AM
Quote from: JayhawkCO on October 30, 2025, 11:18:18 AMApril gets just about as much snow as December or January.

Yep.  I think it was on April 24 that my wife and I flew out on our honeymoon.  We had a transfer at DIA, and it was sleeting badly enough that they had to de-ice the wings before take-off.

And to boot, our March/April snow is the sloppy stuff that is harder to shovel. Most of the snow in January and earlier, I don't even need to shovel. I can just use a pushbroom to clear the driveway.

NWI_Irish96

Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 10:36:52 AM
Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 10:18:44 AMOfficially seasons are defined as the period from one solstice/equinox to the next, but if you think about it, those days should be the MIDDLE of their seasons, not the beginning. The longest 91 days of the year are centered around June 20, not beginning with it.

Someone will probably correct me if I got my math wrong, but this would mean that, by your reckoning:

03 FEB 2026 — begin Spring
05 MAY 2026 — begin Summer
06 AUG 2026 — begin Autumn
06 NOV 2026 — begin Winter

If you're going by daylight, yes, the darkest days are from Nov 6-Feb 2.

Obviously the temperatures lag a bit, as early November is generally warmer than early February.
Indiana: counties 100%, highways 100%
Illinois: counties 100%, highways 61%
Michigan: counties 100%, highways 56%
Wisconsin: counties 86%, highways 23%

kphoger

Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 10:18:44 AMOfficially seasons are defined as the period from one solstice/equinox to the next, but if you think about it, those days should be the MIDDLE of their seasons, not the beginning. The longest 91 days of the year are centered around June 20, not beginning with it.
Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 10:36:52 AMSomeone will probably correct me if I got my math wrong, but this would mean that, by your reckoning:

03 FEB 2026 — begin Spring
05 MAY 2026 — begin Summer
06 AUG 2026 — begin Autumn
06 NOV 2026 — begin Winter
Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 01:42:28 PMIf you're going by daylight, yes, the darkest days are from Nov 6-Feb 2.

Obviously the temperatures lag a bit, as early November is generally warmer than early February.

Sorry, but I just can't get onboard with saying Spring starts on February 3, nor that Autumn starts on August 6.

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

NWI_Irish96

Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 02:10:43 PM
Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 10:18:44 AMOfficially seasons are defined as the period from one solstice/equinox to the next, but if you think about it, those days should be the MIDDLE of their seasons, not the beginning. The longest 91 days of the year are centered around June 20, not beginning with it.
Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 10:36:52 AMSomeone will probably correct me if I got my math wrong, but this would mean that, by your reckoning:

03 FEB 2026 — begin Spring
05 MAY 2026 — begin Summer
06 AUG 2026 — begin Autumn
06 NOV 2026 — begin Winter
Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 01:42:28 PMIf you're going by daylight, yes, the darkest days are from Nov 6-Feb 2.

Obviously the temperatures lag a bit, as early November is generally warmer than early February.

Sorry, but I just can't get onboard with saying Spring starts on February 3, nor that Autumn starts on August 6.

Spring starting on March 20 doesn't make sense either. December 19 is much darker and colder than March 19.
Indiana: counties 100%, highways 100%
Illinois: counties 100%, highways 61%
Michigan: counties 100%, highways 56%
Wisconsin: counties 86%, highways 23%

kphoger

Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 02:20:27 PMSpring starting on March 20 doesn't make sense either. December 19 is much darker and colder than March 19.

Of course it is.  It's the last day before Winter, not the last day before Spring.  What doesn't make sense about that?

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

NWI_Irish96

Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 02:30:48 PM
Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 02:20:27 PMSpring starting on March 20 doesn't make sense either. December 19 is much darker and colder than March 19.

Of course it is.  It's the last day before Winter, not the last day before Spring.  What doesn't make sense about that?

But if December 19 is darker and colder, it should be part of winter, not before it. Winter should include either the darkest or coldest days.
Indiana: counties 100%, highways 100%
Illinois: counties 100%, highways 61%
Michigan: counties 100%, highways 56%
Wisconsin: counties 86%, highways 23%

kphoger

Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 02:58:37 PMWinter should include either the darkest or coldest days.

OK, so I plotted this out for Wichita.

The coldest average daily high temp is 40°F, with December 31 being in the center of that span.  So December 31 would be the midpoint of Winter.

The hottest average daily high temp is 92°F, with July 21–22 being in the center of that span.  So July 21–22 would be the midpoint of Summer.

Right away, you can see that the curve is lopsided:  202 days from the coldest day to the hottest day, but 163 days from the hottest to the coldest.  But we'll go with it.

Actually, if you're looking for some semblance of weather symmetry, then it works pretty well to do this:

SPRING
March 1 – May 31

SUMMER
June 1 – August 31
80°F = avg. high temp, starting
87°F = avg. high temp, ending
hottest days of the year = 51 & 52, out of 92 total

AUTUMN
September 1 – November 30

WINTER
December 1 – February 28
48°F = avg. high temp, starting
52°F = avg. high temp, ending
coldest day of the year = 31, out of 90 total

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

TheHighwayMan3561

Quote from: Roadgeekteen on October 30, 2025, 10:46:09 AMI think dst discussion should be allowed here change my mind

Are you really RGT or did some banned member hack your account?

NWI_Irish96

Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 04:36:14 PM
Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 02:58:37 PMWinter should include either the darkest or coldest days.

OK, so I plotted this out for Wichita.

The coldest average daily high temp is 40°F, with December 31 being in the center of that span.  So December 31 would be the midpoint of Winter.

The hottest average daily high temp is 92°F, with July 21–22 being in the center of that span.  So July 21–22 would be the midpoint of Summer.

Right away, you can see that the curve is lopsided:  202 days from the coldest day to the hottest day, but 163 days from the hottest to the coldest.  But we'll go with it.

Actually, if you're looking for some semblance of weather symmetry, then it works pretty well to do this:

SPRING
March 1 – May 31

SUMMER
June 1 – August 31
80°F = avg. high temp, starting
87°F = avg. high temp, ending
hottest days of the year = 51 & 52, out of 92 total

AUTUMN
September 1 – November 30

WINTER
December 1 – February 28
48°F = avg. high temp, starting
52°F = avg. high temp, ending
coldest day of the year = 31, out of 90 total

That makes much more sense.
Indiana: counties 100%, highways 100%
Illinois: counties 100%, highways 61%
Michigan: counties 100%, highways 56%
Wisconsin: counties 86%, highways 23%

freebrickproductions

It's all fun & games until someone summons Cthulhu and brings about the end of the world.

I also collect traffic lights, road signs, fans, and railroad crossing equipment.

Art in avatar by Dencounter!

(They/Them)

Max Rockatansky

Quote from: freebrickproductions on October 30, 2025, 06:06:48 PMSo who all's expecting a white Christmas this year?

Depends on the elevation.  I only found patches of snow at 8,800 feet above sea level yesterday.

formulanone

Quote from: TheHighwayMan3561 on October 30, 2025, 05:08:19 PM
Quote from: Roadgeekteen on October 30, 2025, 10:46:09 AMI think dst discussion should be allowed here change my mind

Are you really RGT or did some banned member hack your account?

We should totally let the same people who get all puckered up about important stuff like "Limon as a control city" get decide what time our hometown should respect and obey.

Roadgeekteen

Quote from: formulanone on October 30, 2025, 07:04:14 PM
Quote from: TheHighwayMan3561 on October 30, 2025, 05:08:19 PM
Quote from: Roadgeekteen on October 30, 2025, 10:46:09 AMI think dst discussion should be allowed here change my mind

Are you really RGT or did some banned member hack your account?

We should totally let the same people who get all puckered up about important stuff like "Limon as a control city" get decide what time our hometown should respect and obey.
Lol it's really not that deep it's more a meme than anything.

Quote from: TheHighwayMan3561 on October 30, 2025, 05:08:19 PM
Quote from: Roadgeekteen on October 30, 2025, 10:46:09 AMI think dst discussion should be allowed here change my mind

Are you really RGT or did some banned member hack your account?
My stance on when threads should be locked has always been the same. In my opinion, they should only be locked if they get uncivil or break forum rules, not if the discussion is just boring. Same reason why I don't think Alanland should be locked.
My username has been outdated since August 2023 but I'm too lazy to change it

Scott5114

uncontrollable freak sardine salad chef

Scott5114

Quote from: kphoger on October 30, 2025, 10:25:23 AMAnd then people seem to expect the weather to be cooler in October than it was in September, and then we're all surprised—every single time—when temps are still bumping up against 90°F.  Again, the calendar page flips over, and we forget what we learned.  Every year.

This depends on where you are. October is considered part of summer in Las Vegas, such that everyone is surprised when a cold front invariably comes in for Halloween and/or Nevada Day and everyone is uncomfortably cold in their Halloween and/or Nevada Day costume.
uncontrollable freak sardine salad chef

froggie

Quote from: freebrickproductions on October 30, 2025, 06:06:48 PMSo who all's expecting a white Christmas this year?

In the 13 years we've lived in Narina, we've had a total of two that weren't.

Scott5114

uncontrollable freak sardine salad chef

GaryV

Spring only lasts for about 4 hours some random afternoon in late April or early May. Prior to that it's winter; the next day it's summer.

kphoger

Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 05:36:22 PMThat makes much more sense.

It still leaves two-thirds of this coming winter in 2026, so we must still wonder why Rothman assumed 2025 instead...

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

kphoger

Quote from: freebrickproductions on October 30, 2025, 06:06:48 PMSo who all's expecting a white Christmas this year?

Most years here, we do not have a white Christmas, and we're pleasantly surprised whenever we do.  Most years, we don't get much snow, if any, before the turn of the new year.  It's pretty common to have no snow at all in December and then more than one snowfall in January.

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

NWI_Irish96

Quote from: kphoger on Today at 10:28:16 AM
Quote from: NWI_Irish96 on October 30, 2025, 05:36:22 PMThat makes much more sense.

It still leaves two-thirds of this coming winter in 2026, so we must still wonder why Rothman assumed 2025 instead...

I find it much better for my mental health not to wonder about Rothman.
Indiana: counties 100%, highways 100%
Illinois: counties 100%, highways 61%
Michigan: counties 100%, highways 56%
Wisconsin: counties 86%, highways 23%