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Key Bridge (Round Who Knows But Probably Not Last)

Started by Beltway, April 28, 2026, 06:15:15 PM

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Beltway

Quote from: kphoger on June 02, 2026, 12:51:54 PMI mean, I guess you could argue that "national" isn't the exact same as "interstate and interregional".
The NHS definition in 23 USC 103 is extremely broad. It includes the entire Interstate System plus thousands of principal arterials that have no national freight, defense, or economic role.

That's why FHWA, BTS, MARAD, and Congress all use narrower classifications when determining national significance for funding purposes: PHFS, STRAHNET, INFRA/Mega eligibility, port‑dependency metrics, detour feasibility, and measured national‑level economic impact.

So yes, the Key Bridge corridor is on the NHS. But NHS membership by itself doesn't establish national significance in the statutory sense used for extraordinary federal cost shares or nationally significant freight projects.

My question remains the same:
Is there a federal designation -- PHFS, STRAHNET, INFRA/Mega, or similar -- that defines this corridor as nationally significant for funding purposes?

If there is, I'm open to reviewing it.
Baloney is a reserved word on the Internet
    (Robert Coté, 2002)


The_Ginger

Quote from: Beltway on June 02, 2026, 02:52:05 PM
Quote from: kphoger on June 02, 2026, 12:51:54 PMI mean, I guess you could argue that "national" isn't the exact same as "interstate and interregional".
The NHS definition in 23 USC 103 is extremely broad. It includes the entire Interstate System plus thousands of principal arterials that have no national freight, defense, or economic role.

That's why FHWA, BTS, MARAD, and Congress all use narrower classifications when determining national significance for funding purposes: PHFS, STRAHNET, INFRA/Mega eligibility, port‑dependency metrics, detour feasibility, and measured national‑level economic impact.

So yes, the Key Bridge corridor is on the NHS. But NHS membership by itself doesn't establish national significance in the statutory sense used for extraordinary federal cost shares or nationally significant freight projects.

My question remains the same:
Is there a federal designation -- PHFS, STRAHNET, INFRA/Mega, or similar -- that defines this corridor as nationally significant for funding purposes?

If there is, I'm open to reviewing it.
At this point, we're all taking to straight AI.
"Two wrongs don't make a right—but three lefts do."

He/him pronouns, please.
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kphoger

Quote from: The_Ginger on June 02, 2026, 02:53:29 PMAt this point, we're all taking to straight AI.

What?  No, his responses—other than a few months ago—do not sound like A.I. at all.  Try to refrain from throwing that accusation around as much as has been done in the recent past.

He Is Already Here! Let's Go, Flamingo!
Dost thou understand the graveness of the circumstances?
Deut 23:13
Male pronouns, please.

Quote from: PKDIf you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use them.

Max Rockatansky

Quote from: kphoger on June 02, 2026, 02:55:44 PM
Quote from: The_Ginger on June 02, 2026, 02:53:29 PMAt this point, we're all taking to straight AI.

What?  No, his responses—other than a few months ago—do not sound like A.I. at all.  Try to refrain from throwing that accusation around as much as has been done in the recent past.

The man did it himself though.  He got caught lying about using generative AI once and now is probably forever associated with it.

Plutonic Panda


Beltway

$5.2 billion is the number they're holding to, yes. But the part nobody ever addresses is the same question I've been asking since day one: where is that kind of money coming from?

And the second question is just as important: is it worth that kind of money?

We're talking about a single structure with a price tag larger than the entire annual capital program of many state DOTs. Before anyone declares $5.2 billion as "the number," we still haven't seen: a complete funding stack, a final design, a risk‑adjusted cost range, or any serious alternatives analysis.

Until those pieces exist, $5.2 billion is a placeholder, not a final cost -- and the value proposition hasn't been demonstrated.
Baloney is a reserved word on the Internet
    (Robert Coté, 2002)

Rothman

Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man.
Please note: All comments here represent my own personal opinion and do not reflect the official position(s) of NYSDOT.

Plutonic Panda

Quote from: Beltway on June 04, 2026, 05:33:00 PM$5.2 billion is the number they're holding to, yes. But the part nobody ever addresses is the same question I've been asking since day one: where is that kind of money coming from?
Probably from a printer like all the other money.

vdeane

I know that they're deferring at least one project until the Key Bridge replacement project is finished - the toll booth removal on I-895.
Please note: All comments here represent my own personal opinion and do not reflect the official position of NYSDOT or its affiliates.

GaryV

Quote from: Rothman on June 04, 2026, 06:52:55 PMthat's just, like, your opinion

"When I want your opinion, I'll ask AI to generate it for me."

PColumbus73

If he thinks a bridge is expensive... wait 'til they price out a tunnel...

Beltway

#236
The cost of a Baltimore Outer Harbor tunnel isn't hypothetical -- we have hard precedent. VDOT is delivering a 7,900‑ft twin‑tube tunnel at HRBT for $1.9 billon, and CBBT's 6,100‑ft Thimble Shoal tunnel is under construction for $780 million, both in the same coastal geology. With the 1970 Baltimore tunnel portals already built, a 6,200‑ft twin‑tube Outer Harbor tunnel pencils out at $1.6–$1.9 billion, which is less than one‑third of the new bridge estimate.

Even if you inflate those numbers another 20–25%, a 6,200‑ft Baltimore Outer Harbor tunnel still lands around $2.0–$2.3 billion.
Baloney is a reserved word on the Internet
    (Robert Coté, 2002)

Rothman

Quote from: PColumbus73 on June 05, 2026, 07:47:05 AMIf he thinks a bridge is expensive... wait 'til they price out a tunnel...

Keyword is "they," but then there's the HAZMAT issue, for which I will defer to their opinion rather than "his."
Please note: All comments here represent my own personal opinion and do not reflect the official position(s) of NYSDOT.

Beltway

Modern tunnels are HAZMAT‑capable when built to NFPA‑502 standards. Maryland's insistence on a bridge isn't about engineering or routing; it's an emotional and political preference, not a technical requirement.
Baloney is a reserved word on the Internet
    (Robert Coté, 2002)

Max Rockatansky

The continuation of these threads when where really isn't any significant news is an emotional preference. 

bwana39

Quote from: Rothman on June 05, 2026, 10:28:24 AM
Quote from: PColumbus73 on June 05, 2026, 07:47:05 AMIf he thinks a bridge is expensive... wait 'til they price out a tunnel...

Keyword is "they," but then there's the HAZMAT issue, for which I will defer to their opinion rather than "his."

At this price point, allowing only hazmat through on alternating 15-minute periods would be a better choice.
Let's build what we need as economically as possible.