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Author Topic: Tropical cyclone tracking thread  (Read 55672 times)

bing101

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #550 on: October 29, 2018, 10:36:53 AM »

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CNGL-Leudimin

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #551 on: November 05, 2018, 03:48:02 PM »

The Eastern Pacific is now in overtime with tropical storm Xavier. They added the X, Y and Z names in 1985 to avoid using Greek letters (something that would eventually happen in the Atlantic 20 year latter).
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #552 on: December 03, 2018, 02:06:42 PM »

Well the 2018 East Pacific and Atlantic Hurricane seasons are over. Michael will probably get upgraded to Category 5 in post-analysis. The East Pacific had 3-4 Category 5ís (if Hector gets upped) and 10 Category 4ís!
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #553 on: February 07, 2019, 03:46:30 AM »

The SW Indian has a cat 2 and a cat 4 (equivalents 1 min wind speed) active right now. 1 os near Madagascar.

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #554 on: March 17, 2019, 06:28:56 PM »

And with the formation of Tropical Storm* Trevor near the Great Coral Barrier I've now seen tropical storms with the names of all three main characters of GTA V: Michael, Franklin and Trevor. Although the first one is going to be struck off the Atlantic list along with Florence this week.

* Calling this a "Tropical Storm" is technically incorrect since the Australian Bureau of Meteorology doesn't officially use that term. But I do for all tropical cyclones below hurricane strength, regardless of location.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #555 on: March 22, 2019, 09:36:51 AM »

As expected, Florence and Michael have fallen off the Atlantic list and have been replaced with Francine and Milton. This means no original F names are left on the lists. There is exactly one original I name remaining: Isaac. No names have been retired in the Eastern Pacific East of 140įW.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #556 on: March 22, 2019, 09:44:09 AM »

As expected, Florence and Michael have fallen off the Atlantic list and have been replaced with Francine and Milton. This means no original F names are left on the lists. There is exactly one original I name remaining: Isaac. No names have been retired in the Eastern Pacific East of 140įW.

Well, they got my middle name.  I don't think my first name has ever yet been on either of those lists.

They got up to "W" one year, and there was a major storm named Wilma, and at that time I had a coworker by that name.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #557 on: March 22, 2019, 05:12:41 PM »

It was 2005. They ran out of names, so they ended up naming storms after Greek letters instead. There were so many storms, the year actually ended before the last storm dissipated!
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #558 on: April 02, 2019, 12:32:18 PM »

Michaelís TCR should be coming out anytime soon. I think itíll be upgraded to Category 5.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #559 on: April 03, 2019, 01:00:03 PM »

After Cyclone Veronica explosively intensified, it appears western AU is under attack again. The GFS model wants not one, not two, but THREE systems to skirt the west coast, with the current one (Invest 97S) making landfall.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #560 on: April 19, 2019, 02:08:36 PM »

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #561 on: April 19, 2019, 02:26:47 PM »

Not surprised at all
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #562 on: April 19, 2019, 03:49:34 PM »

And I thought it was impossible for the Atlantic to produce a Cat 5 for more than two years in a row. This has not happened before.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #563 on: April 19, 2019, 10:13:29 PM »

And I thought it was impossible for the Atlantic to produce a Cat 5 for more than two years in a row. This has not happened before.

As if the current climate situation has any sort of precedent. :rolleyes:
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #564 on: April 23, 2019, 12:10:48 PM »

And I thought it was impossible for the Atlantic to produce a Cat 5 for more than two years in a row. This has not happened before.
Both basins are in their respective active cycles though. And yes it has, 2003-2005 (Isabel, Ike, Emily, Katrina, Rita, Wilma).

I'm more surprised that it was the first time in a while if ever that the Atlantic and E/C Pacific have both had a CAT 5 in the same season.

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #565 on: April 23, 2019, 01:38:16 PM »

And I thought it was impossible for the Atlantic to produce a Cat 5 for more than two years in a row. This has not happened before.
Both basins are in their respective active cycles though. And yes it has, 2003-2005 (Isabel, Ivan, Emily, Katrina, Rita, Wilma).

FTFY.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #566 on: April 24, 2019, 03:50:56 AM »

Both basins are in their respective active cycles though. And yes it has, 2003-2005 (Isabel, Ivan, Emily, Katrina, Rita, Wilma).

Forgot about that. Ike was in 2008, and wasn't a Category 5.
I'm more surprised that it was the first time in a while if ever that the Atlantic and E/C Pacific have both had a CAT 5 in the same season.

I was more surprised when the JTWC demoted typhoon Noru from Category 5, thus making 2017 the first year in a long time the Western Pacific failed to produce a Cat 5.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #567 on: May 21, 2019, 12:32:00 AM »

And the Atlantic season gets an early start for the 5th year in a row, with the formation of Subtropical Storm Andrea.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #568 on: May 21, 2019, 03:58:50 AM »

Again a subtropical storm? Why they name them, if they aren't tropical? And again Andrea, I don't recognize the 2007 iteration exactly because of that, instead considering that season started with Barry. At least last year I rescued Alberto as it was reanalysed to be a fully tropical storm.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #569 on: May 21, 2019, 06:51:23 AM »

Again a subtropical storm? Why they name them, if they aren't tropical? And again Andrea, I don't recognize the 2007 iteration exactly because of that, instead considering that season started with Barry. At least last year I rescued Alberto as it was reanalysed to be a fully tropical storm.

Subtropical Cyclone:
A non-frontal low-pressure system that has characteristics of both tropical and extratropical cyclones.  Like tropical cyclones, they are non-frontal, synoptic-scale cyclones that originate over tropical or subtropical waters, and have a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center.  In addition, they have organized moderate to deep convection, but lack a central dense overcast.  Unlike tropical cyclones, subtropical cyclones derive a significant proportion of their energy from baroclinic sources, and are generally cold-core in the upper troposphere, often being associated with an upper-level low or trough.  In comparison to tropical cyclones, these systems generally have a radius of maximum winds occurring relatively far from the center (usually greater than 60 n mi), and generally have a less symmetric wind field and distribution of convection.

Tropical Cyclone:
A warm-core non-frontal synoptic-scale cyclone, originating over tropical or subtropical waters, with organized deep convection and a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center.  Once formed, a tropical cyclone is maintained by the extraction of heat energy from the ocean at high temperature and heat export at the low temperatures of the upper troposphere.  In this they differ from extratropical cyclones, which derive their energy from horizontal temperature contrasts in the atmosphere (baroclinic effects).

Extratropical Cyclone:
A cyclone of any intensity for which the primary energy source is baroclinic, that is, results from the temperature contrast between warm and cold air masses.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #570 on: July 11, 2019, 05:00:37 PM »

Tropical Storm Barry is the first Atlantic storm in my records this year. This only has happened once before, coincidentally also skipping Andrea and starting with Barry, in 2007. Out of three iterations of Andrea I only recognize one, in 2013. Barry could get to hurricane strength before making landfall in Louisiana.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #571 on: July 11, 2019, 06:41:31 PM »

Tropical Storm Barry is the first Atlantic storm in my records this year. This only has happened once before, coincidentally also skipping Andrea and starting with Barry, in 2007. Out of three iterations of Andrea I only recognize one, in 2013. Barry could get to hurricane strength before making landfall in Louisiana.

Run, Barry, run!
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #572 on: July 11, 2019, 08:46:18 PM »

Tropical Storm Barry is the first Atlantic storm in my records this year. This only has happened once before, coincidentally also skipping Andrea and starting with Barry, in 2007. Out of three iterations of Andrea I only recognize one, in 2013. Barry could get to hurricane strength before making landfall in Louisiana.
Is there a reason Andrea was skipped?
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #573 on: July 11, 2019, 08:59:55 PM »

Tropical Storm Barry is the first Atlantic storm in my records this year. This only has happened once before, coincidentally also skipping Andrea and starting with Barry, in 2007. Out of three iterations of Andrea I only recognize one, in 2013. Barry could get to hurricane strength before making landfall in Louisiana.
Is there a reason Andrea was skipped?

Subtropical Storm Andrea formed May 20, but fell apart on May 21.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #574 on: July 12, 2019, 08:09:52 PM »

Tropical Storm Barry is the first Atlantic storm in my records this year. This only has happened once before, coincidentally also skipping Andrea and starting with Barry, in 2007. Out of three iterations of Andrea I only recognize one, in 2013. Barry could get to hurricane strength before making landfall in Louisiana.

Run, Barry, run!

The state climatologist for Louisiana, and friend of mine, from my time at LSU, is named Barry.
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