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Author Topic: Tropical cyclone tracking thread  (Read 52778 times)

Hot Rod Hootenanny

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #575 on: July 12, 2019, 08:33:35 PM »

That said, WAFB, out of Baton Rouge, has a page of links concerning the various river levels in SE Louisiana:
https://www.wafb.com/weather/river-stages/?fbclid=IwAR1hTi9REaL6OOralY6Si1pBQYZFWg1EtmUUdkXqACnTRFEWiUKGKImLzhM

Mississippi River @ Baton Rouge


Mississippi River @ New Orleans


Atchafalaya River @ Morgan City (Eye of Barry is supposed to come ashore near here)


Amite River @ Denham Springs (Eastern suburb of Baton Rouge)


Comite River @ Central (NE suburb of Baton Rouge)


Tangipahoa River @ US 190 (west of Hammond, north of New Orleans)
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bing101

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #576 on: July 13, 2019, 12:23:54 AM »

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kalvado

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #578 on: July 14, 2019, 04:10:27 PM »

I think we have proof that tariffs actually work. Barry is the first real US-made storm, replacing those imported from Africa...
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Hurricane Rex

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #579 on: August 12, 2019, 12:56:06 PM »

https://nypost.com/2019/08/12/us-could-be-hit-with-9-major-hurricanes-this-year-experts-say/amp/

And the award for most outrageous/overexaggerated headline is...

SM-J737T

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jeffandnicole

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #580 on: August 12, 2019, 01:22:06 PM »

https://nypost.com/2019/08/12/us-could-be-hit-with-9-major-hurricanes-this-year-experts-say/amp/

And the award for most outrageous/overexaggerated headline is...
SM-J737T

Yeah...Newspaper editors simply don't care anymore. And honestly, when the public is so gullible that they probably won't read the story and just share it based on the headline, who can blame them.

For what it's worth, and what Rex was hinting at...

Quote
In the forecast, five to nine hurricanes are expected to hit stateside, with at least two of those classified as “major hurricanes.”

By the way - the chance was 45% of this even happening.  The article could've also said there's a 55% chance this WON'T happen, but that doesn't sound as catchy.
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CNGL-Leudimin

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #581 on: August 21, 2019, 02:52:00 PM »

Atlantic is really quiet this year. Only today Tropical Storm Chantal has formed. IMO it should have been Barry, as Andrea wasn't a tropical storm per the Tropical Cyclone Report and thus it shouldn't have been named (In fact of the three iterations of Andrea so far I only recognize the 2013 one as it was the only Andrea to be fully tropical).

In another news, Tropical Storm Bailu (known in the Philippines as Ineng, the JTWC still has it as a TD but I consider any named system to have reached TS status) has formed in the Western Pacific. This would be just another storm if it wasn't for the fact Bailu replaces Haiyan in the Western Pacific name list.
« Last Edit: August 21, 2019, 03:00:29 PM by CNGL-Leudimin »
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US 89

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #582 on: August 21, 2019, 02:56:20 PM »

Atlantic is really quiet this year. Only today Tropical Storm Chantal has formed. IMO it should have been Barry, as Andrea wasn't a tropical storm per the Tropical Cyclone Report and thus it shouldn't have been named (In fact of the three iterations of Andrea so far I only recognize the 2013 one as it was the only Andrea to be fully tropical).

Meh, I'll follow the NHC's naming policies. There's no reason subtropical storms shouldn't be named.
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Beltway

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #583 on: August 21, 2019, 04:03:38 PM »

Atlantic is really quiet this year.

Hopefully it will stay that way!
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #584 on: August 21, 2019, 11:44:54 PM »

Atlantic is really quiet this year. Only today Tropical Storm Chantal has formed. IMO it should have been Barry, as Andrea wasn't a tropical storm per the Tropical Cyclone Report and thus it shouldn't have been named (In fact of the three iterations of Andrea so far I only recognize the 2013 one as it was the only Andrea to be fully tropical).
Meh, I'll follow the NHC's naming policies. There's no reason subtropical storms shouldn't be named.

Yeah. I'm going to trust the NHC, which is staffed with professionals, over the opinion of some rando on the Internet.
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CNGL-Leudimin

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #585 on: August 28, 2019, 04:18:58 PM »

I'm seeing hurricane Dorian right between Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. It may impact Florida as a major hurricane early next week...
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D-Dey65

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #586 on: August 30, 2019, 12:37:35 AM »

I'm seeing hurricane Dorian right between Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. It may impact Florida as a major hurricane early next week...
Oh, it will impact Florida.
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CNGL-Leudimin

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #587 on: September 01, 2019, 10:02:10 AM »

Dorian now Category 5!!! There had never been four consecutive years with a Cat. 5 hurricane in the Atlantic before.
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mrhappy1261

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #588 on: September 01, 2019, 12:48:25 PM »

Dorian now Category 5!!! There had never been four consecutive years with a Cat. 5 hurricane in the Atlantic before.
Seems to be more in the ocean than the land but things can change. Just keep watching!!!
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US 89

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #589 on: September 01, 2019, 03:30:23 PM »

Dorian now Category 5!!! There had never been four consecutive years with a Cat. 5 hurricane in the Atlantic before.
Seems to be more in the ocean than the land but things can change. Just keep watching!!!

The Bahamas would like to disagree with you. Dorian just tied the 1935 Labor Day hurricane's record for the strongest landfall ever in the Atlantic basin, with 185 mph sustained winds. The pressure is also record-setting, with the official 910 mb beating Irma's 914 mb record for the lowest pressure ever in the open Atlantic.

I haven't seen many damage photos from Abaco Island yet, but I wouldn't be surprised if parts of it were completely leveled. The death and destruction from this thing is going to be enormous.

Anyway, I'm not liking the trend I'm seeing in the latest models. It looks like the subtropical ridge is a bit stronger and the storm appears to be faster than initially thought, which could bring Dorian a lot closer to the US coastline, Florida in particular.
« Last Edit: September 01, 2019, 03:34:51 PM by US 89 »
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #590 on: September 02, 2019, 05:20:32 PM »

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bing101

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #591 on: September 03, 2019, 08:15:02 AM »

https://www.fox5atlanta.com/weather/dorian

Georgia is on hurricane watch. 



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route56

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #592 on: September 11, 2019, 12:43:45 PM »

It's now the meteorological mid-point of the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane season.

While Dorian was obviously the big focus, three more cyclones - Erin, Fernand, and Gabrielle, popped up in the atlantic. Only Fernand directly impacted land as a cyclone, striking northeast Mexico.

As of 8:00 EDT Today, 9/11/19, there are three "Invests" in the Atlantic, only one of which the NHC has more than a 20 percent chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone.

There's an invest in the Eastern Pacific that the NHC thinks is really good to become a Tropical Cyclone (90 percent)
« Last Edit: September 11, 2019, 12:47:15 PM by route56 »
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #593 on: September 11, 2019, 02:13:20 PM »

It's now the meteorological mid-point of the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane season.

While Dorian was obviously the big focus, three more cyclones - Erin, Fernand, and Gabrielle, popped up in the atlantic. Only Fernand directly impacted land as a cyclone, striking northeast Mexico.

As of 8:00 EDT Today, 9/11/19, there are three "Invests" in the Atlantic, only one of which the NHC has more than a 20 percent chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone.

There's an invest in the Eastern Pacific that the NHC thinks is really good to become a Tropical Cyclone (90 percent)
Only two of them actually have Invest designations. The one closest to the US, 95L, has a 60% chance. 94L is located close to Barbados, that probably won’t form. And the unnumbered system just off the African coastline needs to be watched closely, most models have that storm either striking Florida or the Bahamas.
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CNGL-Leudimin

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #594 on: September 11, 2019, 02:29:42 PM »

Fun fact about Gabrielle: It actually dissipated, and then regenerated so quickly there is no advisory gap on NHC's storm archive. It was killed on advisory 11, only to be redeclared a tropical storm just six hours later.

Meanwhile the Hawaiian list has started second round with tropical storm Akoni, the inaugural name back in 1982.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #596 on: September 12, 2019, 05:02:49 PM »

The storm in question is not named yet, but the NHC has initiated advisories (Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine) and a Tropical Storm Warning has gone up over part of the Bahamas.
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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #597 on: September 14, 2019, 06:17:23 PM »

Looks like the now named Humberto will be a fish-spinner, albeit, there's a non-zero chance of it impacting Bermuda.
« Last Edit: September 14, 2019, 08:50:49 PM by route56 »
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US 89

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #598 on: September 14, 2019, 06:39:01 PM »

a fish-spinner, with a chance of impacting Bermuda

contradiction in terms
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route56

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Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #599 on: September 14, 2019, 08:52:08 PM »

contradiction in terms

Did my edit clarify it for you?
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