AARoads Forum

Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Author Topic: Tropical cyclone tracking thread  (Read 59244 times)

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #275 on: February 13, 2018, 09:36:33 PM »

02W decided to became a Tropical Storm, and received the name Sanba. Gita is also nearly a Cat 5 on the Australian Scale...
Category 5 on the AU Scale now. Cat 4 on the SSHWS.
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #276 on: February 14, 2018, 04:45:51 PM »

Notice the Australian scale has no "tropical storm" designation, instead using category 1 tropical cyclone already when a system reaches gale force. I refer to (AU) categories 1 and 2 together as "tropical storm", only changing to "tropical cyclone" once they reach category 3 (i.e. hurricane force). Now I think, the SSHWS doesn't have a "strong tropical storm" category like the rest of the World.
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

Hurricane Rex

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 1371
  • Speed 75 or bust. Keep on traveling.

  • Age: 19
  • Location: Sherwood Oregon (Dec, Jun-Sep), Corvallis, Oregon (Oct, Nov, Jan-May)
  • Last Login: February 28, 2020, 03:16:12 PM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #277 on: February 15, 2018, 01:51:44 AM »

Notice the Australian scale has no "tropical storm" designation, instead using category 1 tropical cyclone already when a system reaches gale force. I refer to (AU) categories 1 and 2 together as "tropical storm", only changing to "tropical cyclone" once they reach category 3 (i.e. hurricane force). Now I think, the SSHWS doesn't have a "strong tropical storm" category like the rest of the World.
I consider 60 mph to 73 mph as strong TS on my personal modified SSHWS. Only other changes: CAT 5 is 155-176. CAT 6: 177-199. CAT 7: 200+
Logged
ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #278 on: February 16, 2018, 02:11:41 PM »

10S forms...
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #279 on: February 16, 2018, 04:11:23 PM »

Still unnamed, ergo still a tropical depression (or "tropical low" as they call them in Oz), not interesting for me. FYI this is tropical low 17U.
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #280 on: February 17, 2018, 05:51:31 AM »

Now named: Tropical storm Kelvin. Add 273.15 and you have TS Celsius. If you then multiply by 1.8 and substract 32, you'll obtain TS Fahrenheit.
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #281 on: February 23, 2018, 02:55:15 PM »

Now named: Tropical storm Kelvin. Add 273.15 and you have TS Celsius. If you then multiply by 1.8 and substract 32, you'll obtain TS Fahrenheit.

And he did the impossible, intensifying to 90 mph over land!
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Hurricane Rex

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 1371
  • Speed 75 or bust. Keep on traveling.

  • Age: 19
  • Location: Sherwood Oregon (Dec, Jun-Sep), Corvallis, Oregon (Oct, Nov, Jan-May)
  • Last Login: February 28, 2020, 03:16:12 PM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #282 on: February 26, 2018, 02:21:12 AM »

Now named: Tropical storm Kelvin. Add 273.15 and you have TS Celsius. If you then multiply by 1.8 and substract 32, you'll obtain TS Fahrenheit.

And he did the impossible, intensifying to 90 mph over land!

TS Julia (2016) can relate to that for forming on land.
Logged
ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #283 on: February 26, 2018, 03:36:32 PM »

Now named: Tropical storm Kelvin. Add 273.15 and you have TS Celsius. If you then multiply by 1.8 and substract 32, you'll obtain TS Fahrenheit.

And he did the impossible, intensifying to 90 mph over land!

TS Julia (2016) can relate to that for forming on land.
Bill (2015) survived as a TD over land for at least 36 hours.
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #284 on: February 28, 2018, 01:23:16 PM »

We could have the strongest storm (by pressure) ever recorded in the Southwest Indian this weekend, and next week. HWRF model predicting a 878!!! millibar storm. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p&region=94S&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2018022812&fh=6 That’s lower than any storm in 2017! GFS predicts 896 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p&region=94S&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2018022812&fh=6. If this verifies, oh my. Lowest ever was Gafilo with 895.

Edit: If HWRF-P model verifies, it’s the lowest in the S Hem on record, surpassing 2016’s Cyclone Winston with 885.
« Last Edit: February 28, 2018, 01:27:00 PM by Interstate 69 Fan »
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #285 on: February 28, 2018, 05:19:09 PM »

Models usually go really crazy. I remember once GFS formed a tropical "anticyclone" that crossed the equator, and then bombed the same cyclone to 871 mbar. In the end Typhoon Tembin (a.k.a. Vinta in the Philippines) only reached category 1.
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #286 on: March 03, 2018, 05:01:19 AM »

Tropical Storm Dumazile now active. This is the one the HWRF predicted to be a 878 mbar storm (now it predicts a 911 mbar one, less insane).

BTW, this tweet is all wrong:

Tropical cyclones aren't named until they actually have a name and not just a serial number (Captain Obvious). Also, now that is named, Dumazile is not the 11th named storm of the Southern hemisphere, but the 12th, a byproduct of the JTWC missing the very first named storm of the season (Cempaka) and those blind people who don't look further.
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #287 on: March 05, 2018, 09:39:07 AM »

Cat 3 now
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #288 on: March 07, 2018, 09:13:24 AM »

And then Hola decides 的 want to rapidly intensify too.
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #289 on: March 07, 2018, 12:47:33 PM »

It will be an oxymoron when Hola (Spanish for hello) dissipates or goes extratropical :sombrero:.
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #290 on: March 07, 2018, 03:31:18 PM »

It will be an oxymoron when Hola (Spanish for hello) dissipates or goes extratropical :sombrero:.

That痴 funny, never knew that. Cat 4 on the AU scale, yet JTWC is taking 50 years recognizing it as a Cat 2 on the SSHWS, still by them, only a minimal Cat 1 with 65 kt (75 mph)
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #291 on: March 07, 2018, 04:37:55 PM »

Fun fact: in 2015 there was a Cyclone Ola in the same area. In Spanish "Ola" is homophone with "Hola" (the H is always silent except when preceded by a C).
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #292 on: March 21, 2018, 03:24:03 PM »

Marcus... Cat 5.  :)
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #293 on: March 21, 2018, 07:00:05 PM »

When it formed near the Australian coast I knew (it was already forecast anyway) Marcus would get to strenghten a bit once it moved away, just not to 140 mph (10 min).
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #294 on: March 31, 2018, 06:51:59 PM »

Finally got a weather radio for my birthday. (It's today)
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

Hurricane Rex

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 1371
  • Speed 75 or bust. Keep on traveling.

  • Age: 19
  • Location: Sherwood Oregon (Dec, Jun-Sep), Corvallis, Oregon (Oct, Nov, Jan-May)
  • Last Login: February 28, 2020, 03:16:12 PM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #295 on: April 01, 2018, 12:31:34 PM »

Finally got a weather radio for my birthday. (It's today)
Well then, happy birthday! I have a feeling you'll enjoy that

LG-TP260

Logged
ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.

Interstate 69 Fan

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 471
  • You cannot deny that I-69 will never be completed.

  • Age: 17
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Last Login: Today at 01:21:49 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #296 on: April 13, 2018, 10:06:34 AM »

Will Isis ever die? It keeps regenerating.
Logged
Apparently I知 a fan of I-69.  Who knew.

CNGL-Leudimin

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2682
  • When in doubt, US 41

  • Age: 26
  • Location: Across the pond
  • Last Login: Today at 10:36:17 AM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #297 on: April 13, 2018, 11:59:59 AM »

Will Iris ever die? It keeps regenerating.

FTFY.
Logged
"Football", a quite ambiguous word for me. I assume "association" football instead of "American" football.

All times Eastern unless DST is in force only in the USA (Central in that case to preserve "6 hours behind my actual time") or otherwise noted

US 89

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 2578
  • 189 to Evanston!

  • Location: Salt Lake City/Atlanta
  • Last Login: Today at 11:02:24 AM
    • Utah Highways
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #298 on: April 13, 2018, 05:55:50 PM »

The names Harvey, Irma, Maria, and Nate were all retired from the Atlantic hurricane name list at the WMO meeting on Wednesday. The new names are Harold, Idalia, Margot, and Nigel.
Logged
Interstate clinches: 14 82 86ID 215UT 225 345 444 575 985
US clinches: 91 491 550

Flickr
Imgur
Website

Hurricane Rex

  • *
  • Offline Offline

  • Posts: 1371
  • Speed 75 or bust. Keep on traveling.

  • Age: 19
  • Location: Sherwood Oregon (Dec, Jun-Sep), Corvallis, Oregon (Oct, Nov, Jan-May)
  • Last Login: February 28, 2020, 03:16:12 PM
Re: Tropical cyclone tracking thread
« Reply #299 on: May 16, 2018, 01:47:22 AM »

Welcome to the 2018 Pacific Hurricane Season. 1E dissipated 2 days ago now btw.

LG-TP260

Logged
ODOT, raise the speed limit and fix our traffic problems.

Road and weather geek for life.

Running till I die.

 


Opinions expressed here on belong solely to the poster and do not represent or reflect the opinions or beliefs of AARoads, its creators and/or associates.